管涛：三大因素影响下半年人民币汇率走势 积极应对未来的汇率宽幅波动
中银证券全球首席经济学家管涛称，不论短期还是中长期，汇率测不准是必然，双向波动是常态。应对未来的汇率宽幅波动，各方应积极拟定应对预案。中国有基础有条件保持人民币汇率在均衡合理水平上的基本稳定。但汇率稳定不等于固定。相反，由于人民币汇率趋于均衡合理水平，反倒容易因基本面或情绪面的起伏变化，出现大起大落的宽幅震荡走势。各地区各部门要加大宏观政策对冲力度，确保经济运行在合理区间。还要不断给企业汇率避险提供政策便利。下半年关注汇率走势三大重要因素包括：经济复苏，美元指数以及疫情形势。
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